Each week we will make predictions on who we think will potentially outperform and underperform their weekly fantasy projections. (These projections are provided by Sit or Start Fantasy Football using standard PPR scoring.) We make these predictions to help you figure out which players can help you win your matchup and/or to nudge you in the right direction in that lineup decision you’ve been sitting on all week. Let’s see who’s going to be this week’s heroes and zeroes.
First, full disclosure from our Week 5 selections:
Will Fuller, WR, Texans
Week 5 Projection: 12 pts
Actual -- 54 pts
Nick Chubb, RB, Browns
Week 5 Projection: 18 pts
Actual -- 11 pts
Amari Cooper, WR, Cowboys
Week 5 Projection: 15 pts
Actual -- 40 pts
Wayne Gallman, RB, Giants
Week 5 Projection: 13 pts
Actual -- 1 pt
Last week we went 2 for 4 with our projections and even though Wayne Gallman was knocked out of his game due to injury, Will Fuller went ballistic with 14 catches, 217 yards, and 3 touchdowns. Amari Cooper had a better game than expected against the Packers in a game where Dak Prescott threw for 426 yards, the most passing yards the Packers have given up in a game this season. Finally, the 49ers defense also had a great game and really stymied Nick Chubb and the Browns offense on Monday night. So let’s get back to our winning ways in Week 6’s version of Heroes and Zeroes. This week we will focus on:
Carson Wentz, QB, Eagles
Week 6 Projection: 15 pts
Carson Wentz’s Eagles play against the Vikings this week in Minnesota. Wentz is coming off a mediocre game against the Jets where he had 17 completions on 29 attempts, 189 yards, and a touchdown. Honestly, though, it doesn’t take much to beat the Jets these days.. The Vikings offer much stiffer competition this week so this could be a high scoring affair. Their defense has been one of the best against the pass this year, only allowing 204 yards passing per game. An advantage for Wentz will be the fact that Eagles running backs Jordan Howard and Miles Sanders have been great catching quick passes out of the backfield. That ability to quickly get the ball out will help against the Vikings great defensive ends Danielle Hunter and Everson Griffen. Wentz may not have a huge day, but expect him to throw for at least 200 yards and 2 touchdowns to beat his projection.
Tyler Lockett, WR, Seahawks
Week 6 Projection: 15 pts
Everyone saw the great catch that Lockett made in the corner of the end zone last week. That was remarkably one of only four targets for him on the day. It has been feast or famine with targets so far in 2019 for Lockett. In three games this season he has 4 or fewer targets, but in the other two games he had at least 12 targets. This week the Seahawks travel to Cleveland to take on the Browns. It has been hard to figure out this Browns team as they got smoked by the Titans and 49ers, yet went on the road and beat a solid Ravens team. Even though the Browns defense has been decent, ranking seventh best against the pass, Lockett has NFL MVP-candidate Russell Wilson tossing him the ball. Being Wilson’s WR1 definitely helps, especially in a game with an over/under of 47.5 points. Lockett will outperform his projection this week.
Le’Veon Bell, RB, Jets
Week 6 Projection: 19 pts
Let’s compare Bell’s current stats to where he was at this point of the season in his last full year of 2017:
Carries- 2017 (87), 2019 (71)
Rushing yards- 2017 (324), 2019 (206)
Receptions- 2017 (17), 2019 (27)
Receiving yards- 2017 (98), 2019 (166)
Bell isn’t running as much but is being utilized a lot more out of the backfield as a receiver. Part of that is the fact that Sam Darnold has been out for the past three weeks, leaving Luke Falk as the Jets’ starting quarterback. Falk has not been able to get anything going downfield so it has been nothing but checkdown passes to Bell. Another issue is the Jets are playing from behind constantly, meaning they can get no running game established. The Jets welcome the Dallas Cowboys to MetLife Stadium this week. The Cowboys have given up the third fewest fantasy points to running backs and the ninth fewest passing yards per game this year. Sam Darnold is expected to return this week so expect Bell to get a lot of volume, but to not do much with it.
George Kittle, TE, 49ers
Week 6 Projection: 15 pts
Against the Browns on Monday night, Kittle led the 49ers in targets, catches and receiving yards. He was a force to be reckoned with, and you have to know that the L.A. Rams saw that. The Rams are well-rested after coming off a Thursday night game last week where they lost by a single point in Seattle. Knowing the success that Kittle had on Monday night, Wade Phillips and the Rams defensive coaches will always know where Kittle is lined up. Last year in two games versus the Rams, Kittle went for a combined 14 catches, 247 yards, and 2 touchdowns. Kittle is a weekly TE1, but don’t expect him to blow up against the Rams. Especially considering that this year the Rams have not allowed more than 4 catches to any tight end.