The court is now in session! The plaintiff is the player with the higher ADP or rank. The defendant is the player with the lower ADP or rank.
Finding diamonds in the rough late in drafts or via trade is the key to long term success in fantasy. According to DLF, Philadelphia Eagles running back Boston Scott is ranked as RB 57 and Indianapolis Colt’s running back Nyhiem Hines is ranked as RB 58. For August DLF startup drafts, Scott is going in the 13th round as RB54 and Hines is going in the same round as RB56. Both players are entering into their third year in the NFL and are considered pass-catching specialists. Given each player’s situation, which is the better dynasty buy?
Defendant: Nyheim Hines
With his 4.38 speed, Hines is a dynamic weapon out of the backfield. In his rookie year in 2018, Hines caught 63 passes ( on 81 targets ) for 425 yards and two touchdowns. He also rushed 85 times for 314 yards for two touchdowns. He ended the year as RB 27 in full PPR leagues. He had a down year in 2019, only posting 519 total yards and receiving 58 targets. In defense of Hines, there was a big drop off in quarterback play when the Colts were forced to start Jacoby Brisset due to the unexpected retirement by former Colts quarterback Andrew Luck. Hines will have a significant role in the passing game in 2020 even with the drafting of highly touted running back Jonathan Taylor and running back Marlon Mack in the mix. With former Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Phillip Rivers coming into town, Hines should assume the “Austin Ekeler” role and receive a high volume of targets.
Plaintiff: Boston Scott
Scott was a fantasy hero during the last four weeks of the regular season in 2019. From Weeks 14-17, Scott finished as the RB7 in full PPR scoring and averaged 20.5 points. He saw an increased workload due to injuries to former Eagles Running back Jordan Howard, former running back Darren Sproles, and starting running back Miles Sanders. Over the last four weeks of the 2019 season, Scott posted 38 rushing attempts for 151 yards and four touchdowns. In the same four games, he dominated in the passing game by posting 23 receptions (on 25 targets) for 199 yards. Scott should be second in line for touches in 2020 behind starting running back Miles Sanders. Third-string running back Corey Clement may be in the mix for touches, but has suffered through injuries the past two seasons. Scott has been extremely effective in the “Darren Sproles” role when given the opportunity.
Both running backs are intriguing late-round picks that will benefit in different ways. Hines is a solid floor play every week even with Jonathan Taylor and Marlon Mack in the backfield. Even if Mack or Taylor are injured, Hines isn’t going to step into a role that will win you multiple weeks. Scott has already proven to have league-winning upside if Sanders goes down due to injury. The question is what is Scott’s current role in the offense? It’s unclear this year as Sanders is expected to get a workhorse role with Clement also being involved. Hines is the more intriguing prospect for a few reasons. Hines is signed through 2021 while Scott is in the last year of his contract. Unless Scott has an amazing season, he won’t be receiving a contract extension by the Eagles. Hines is also younger than Scott by two years. Scott also signed to a two-year contract in 2018 for $1.2 million after being picked up by the Eagles from the New Orleans Saints practice squad. In contrast, Hines was drafted by the Colts and signed a four-year deal of $3.1 million. The court rules in favor of Nyheim Hines as the better dynasty. The court is adjourned.
Credits: Pro-football-reference, DLF, FantasyPros, Rotowire
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