Who doesn’t love reading about dynasty buys and sells early in the offseason? I’m going to go through the NFL, division by division, and give my thoughts on targets for each team. First up, we’re starting with the AFC East.
Buying: Zay Jones - According to DLF May ADP, Jones is being drafted as the WR71. This on the heels of a WR3 finish (35th overall) in 2018, where he led the Bills in targets, catches, yards, and touchdowns by a wide margin. Jones saw 40 more targets than the next closest receiver and he accounted for more than half of the team’s receiving touchdowns. Buffalo did have free agent additions of John Brown and Cole Beasley, but let’s not act like they’re elite talents who will render Jones irrelevant.
Selling: LeSean McCoy - Somehow McCoy is the third most expensive asset in Buffalo according to the aforementioned DLF ADP, behind Devin Singletary and Robert Foster. McCoy will be 31 in July and despite playing in 14 games last year, he barely surpassed 500 rushing yards. His 514 rushing yards were the lowest of his career, and the lowest total since his rookie year (637 yards). McCoy’s ADP doesn’t reflect his market/trade value, and I’d take almost whatever I could get for him.
Buying: Albert Wilson - Wilson was having himself a respectable year and showing us glimpses of his athleticism (his 11.1 yards per target would’ve ranked fourth in the NFL) before suffering a hip injury and ultimately landing on injured reserve. His situation is similar to Jones above - cheap to acquire and a clear path to targets. Wilson is going three spots above Jones as WR68. I also have hope that with some of the Patriots’ former staff descending upon Miami, they’ll utilize and highlight him in the slot.
Selling: DeVante Parker - There’s actually hype going on with him right now. Again. I’m not kidding. He’s apparently snatching souls in practice. His best season was in 2016 where he posted a 56/744/4 line. Parker, like McCoy, is another “take whatever you can get” sell.
New England Patriots
Buying: Sony Michel - I guess Michel is falling down draft boards because the Patriots drafted Damien Harris? As far as I’m aware, we haven’t received any news of a setback with Michel’s knee or any offseason operations. As long as nothing like that pops up, there’s no reason for Michel to be falling into the fourth round of drafts. The dude had over 900 rushing yards in 13 regular season games and then dominated postseason play, averaging 23.7 rush attempts, 112 yards, and 2 touchdowns per game. Tom Brady’s avocado ice cream may keep him in the league for a few more years, but the Patriots have shown us they’re going to lean on the run game. If the Michel owner in your league is wavering or worried, I’d be all over that.
Selling: Julian Edelman - This sell comes with a slight caveat. I’m only selling Edelman if I’m not contending or if I get an offer too good to pass. This buy is more based on the fact Edelman just signed his contract extension, so his value may be temporarily elevated. If you can capitalize, take advantage.
New York Jets
Buying: Robby Anderson - This one was difficult now that Supreme Ruler Adam Gase has apparently taken the Jets organization hostage and we have no idea who he actually wants on the roster (or staff in general). At the very least, Anderson offers a skill set which differs from the other presumed starting receivers Jamison Crowder and Quincy Enunwa. In three of Anderson’s last four games, he had at least 75 yards and a touchdown. With the uncertainty and overall dumpster fire surrounding the Jets, Anderson should come with a relatively cheap price tag.
Selling: Le’Veon Bell - This isn’t an angry Yinzer take; I’m not saying he isn’t a talented running back. What I am saying is there’s too much uncertainty in his current situation and with his mid-second round ADP, I’m cashing out. First, there’s the Gase Effect. Reports recently surfaced that Gase “absolutely” didn’t want to spend big money on a running back like Bell. How will that relationship evolve over the next several months? Second, we’ve never seen Bell run behind a poor offensive line. With Bell’s patented patient running style, how will that work if his line can’t hold up? Third, we’ve never seen Bell in a poor passing offense. I have high hopes for Sam Darnold, but at this point of his career, he’s not Ben Roethlisberger, and there’s no Antonio Brown on the Jets either. Lastly, Bell’s commitment to football has to be questioned a little, right? What happens if the Jets are abysmal and Bell isn’t producing? There are simply too many things going against Bell right now.
What do you all think? Agree? Disagree? Let me know!