Buying: Justice Hill - Although I’m not as low on Lamar Jackson and the passing game in Baltimore as many are, they’re still undoubtedly going to be a run-first team. The Ravens will run the ball so much, in fact, the presence of free agent acquisition Mark Ingram doesn’t scare me off Hill. The rookie from Oklahoma State offers a skill set different from Ingram, namely his speed and athleticism. The thought of Jackson and Hill running zone-read/option plays has fantasy goodness written all over it. The best part about buying Hill? His price! According to DLF ADP data, he’s going outside of the top-100 in startup drafts and in the mid-to-late second round of rookie drafts. For my thoughts on Hill as a prospect, check this out.Selling: Mark Ingram - Ingram has the highest ADP amongst Ravens players at 86 overall but went as high as 60 in one of their mocks. I think the play here is to wait until he has a couple games of production under his belt and then move him. If you’re lacking patience or someone is being persistent in their offers, moving on from a 29-year-old running back a little early isn’t a bad idea.
Buying: Joe Mixon - Typically I’m not a buy-high kind of guy, but that’s exactly what I’m doing here. Mixon quietly had over 1,100 rushing yards last year while missing two games, and he currently has an ADP of only 11.3. while I’m not predicting he’ll be a top 3 dynasty asset, I do see him moving up a few spots and his trade value increasing.Selling: Tyler Boyd - The answer here is either Boyd or A.J. Green, as there’s a massive dropoff from Boyd to the next Bengal. After Boyd is taken with an ADP of 56.17, the next Cincinnati player coming off boards is John Ross at 167.17. Yikes. It seems as though Green’s value is a bit depressed right now due to age and injury concerns, so I’ll roll with the breakout from last year to get more in return.
Buying: Nick Chubb - If I’m buying Joe Mixon, you had better believe I’m in on Chubb as well. I think there’s a small window to buy him now at a slightly depressed price due to the presence of Kareem Hunt. According to February DLF ADP (prior to Hunt’s signing), Chubb was routinely going at the first/second round turn. Fast forward to June, and Chubb has slipped to the mid-second round, going as late as 19th overall twice in the DLF mocks. The former Georgia Bulldog is going to end up where he was earlier this year as soon as Week 1 rolls around.
Selling: Baker Mayfield - I love Mayfield and the potential he has in this revamped Cleveland offense, but in 1QB leagues, he’s being drafted with an ADP of 64 and as early as 52. With all of the hype surrounding Mayfield and this team, I’d be looking to capitalize and trade him for multiple pieces. You should have no trouble moving Mayfield for a lower ADP quarterback plus another asset on top.
Buying: Donte Moncrief - In a recent article from a local Pittsburgh sports site, Ben Roethlisberger was asked who has impressed him most early on. His answer? Moncrief. I’m buying Moncrief on two aspects: price and opportunity. The former Colt and Jaguar is coming off draft boards as WR79, behind names like John Ross, Terry McLaurin, and Miles Boykin. Add in the vacated Antonio Brown targets, and Moncrief has the chance to absolutely smash his current ADP.Selling: JuJu Smith-Schuster - This is another sell that strictly comes down to your return. Smith-Schuster is currently the fifth receiver being drafted, and I believe 2018 was the best fantasy season we’ll see from him. With the departure of Antonio Brown, I’m curious to see not only how Smith-Schuster is used in the Steelers’ offense, but also how defenses attack him. Smith-Schuster spent nearly 59% of his snaps in the slot, per PFF. What happens if the aforementioned Moncrief lays an egg? If James Washington doesn’t take a step forward in year two? Will the Steelers then be forced to move Smith-Schuster outside more often? And what about life after Roethlisberger? I’m not saying it’s a guarantee Smith-Schuster fails going forward. There are just enough questions and you can get a massive haul for the former USC Trojan to make sending him away worth it.
Let me know your thoughts by hitting me up on Twitter and be sure to keep your eyes peeled for the next article as I move to the NFC North!