The AFC West, like the NFC South, is full of intriguing dynasty assets for both buying and selling. Here are my trade targets with the 2019 regular season on the horizon.
*Note: Any reference to ADP in this article is being pulled from DLF.
Buy: Emmanuel Sanders - This one is obviously geared towards contenders. Just a few months ago, I was in step with DLF mock drafters for the month of August where Sanders is sitting outside the top-150 dynasty assets. I thought there was no way a 32-year-old who tore his Achilles tendon in December would be anywhere near full-strength eight months later. It appears (as of now) I was wrong. Not only has Sanders looked good running routes in shorts at training camp, but he’s actually playing in preseason games! If you can get Sanders at ADP, he could be a great depth piece and provide some spot starts for your squad.
Sell: Phillip Lindsay - Let’s be honest - there aren’t a lot of sexy options in Bronco Country. Courtland Sutton would be the other sell I would consider here, but I believe more in Sutton’s long-term outlook than I do Lindsay’s. In order to buy into Lindsay as a dynasty asset, you have to buy into an outlier. Lindsay is just one of three undrafted free agent running backs to amass over 1,000 rushing yards in their rookie season (Dominic Rhodes, LeGarrette Blount). Lindsay also had absurd efficiency with his touches, something typically not sticky year over year. Let’s not forget that he’s sharing a backfield with 2018 third-round pick Royce Freeman, who has been receiving hype from the team throughout offseason activities. Sell while you can before the Lindsay stock crashes.
Kansas City Chiefs
Buy: Damien Williams - Another contender’s buy here. Williams’ price has taken a hit in recent weeks - from the hamstring injury, to committee talk, to the rise of Darwin Thompson. I’m still a Williams believer (for 2019). Even if you’re not, once we see him producing you’ll be able to flip him for a profit. It could be a risky maneuver, but if you’re in a super-active league, you could buy Williams as a non-contender and do the same thing. The bottom line: he’s still currently the lead back on the NFL’s best offense. Fantasy players should always be willing to buy into situations like this.
Sell: Tyreek Hill - Plain and simple, Hill is the Chiefs' highest valued asset with a not-so-guaranteed future with the team. There are the obvious off-field issues with Hill but we can’t forget about the trade rumors which circulated dating back to the 2019 NFL Combine. An unrestricted free agent at the end of this season, there’s no telling where Hill could end up. One thing is certain, however: if Hill does indeed join a new team in 2020, he won’t be upgrading his situation and fantasy potential.
Los Angeles Chargers
Buy: Justin Jackson - With the regular season right around the corner, there doesn’t appear to be anything imminent for Melvin Gordon to return. Justin Jackson had a sterling college production profile - the second-year running back never had fewer than 1,187 rushing yards or 21 receptions in his four years at Northwestern. Austin Ekeler isn’t going away, but he also showed (in a limited sample) he’s not the answer for a three-down workhorse role. Jackson is cheap enough to where there really isn’t a downside to acquiring him. The upside? You have a flex-level player you traded for inexpensively. Worst case scenario? He rides the pine.
Sell: Mike Williams - Williams is one of two wide receivers since 1970 to have 10 touchdowns on 66 or fewer targets. Looking back to a year ago, the Clemson product carried an ADP of 92.33. Today? He’s sitting at 48.5. Williams truthers are pointing to the departure of Tyrell Williams as the reason he takes the next step. They’re conveniently forgetting Tyrell only leaves 65 targets behind and Hunter Henry is fully healthy following his ACL tear. Find the Mike Williams optimist in your league and strike a deal.
Buy: Darren Waller - At the NFL Combine in 2015 (before Waller made the conversion from receiver to tight end), this dude ran a 4.46s 40-yard dash at 6’6” and 238 pounds. With those height/weight measurements, his closest comparable per MockDraftable is Mike Evans. Is that good? I think so. This Raiders defense will be helpful ensuring Waller could see his fair share of targets due to their playing from behind regularly. With the on-going, never-ending Antonio Brown saga, those targets could get an even bigger bump. Waller is exactly what we look for when searching out high upside dart throws.
Sell: Josh Jacobs - The aforementioned Antonio Brown is probably the correct call here, but his value drops with every weird frost-bitten, helmet-grieving, tweet-sending story that comes out. Outside of Jacobs and Brown, things are ugly for dynasty values in Oakland. After Brown at 24.67 and Jacobs at 31.83, you have to take the elevator to the basement to find Tyrell Williams at 164.67. You probably just took Jacobs at 1.01 in your rookie draft not too long ago, but it may be worth it to click the box next to his name on the Trade Bait section of your league site.