Each week we will make predictions on who we think will potentially outperform and underperform their weekly fantasy projections. (These projections are provided by Sit or Start Fantasy Football using standard PPR scoring.) We make these predictions to help you figure out who can help you win your matchup and to nudge you in the right direction to assist in that lineup decision you’ve been sitting on all week. Let’s see who’s going to be this week’s heroes and zeroes.


First, full disclosure from our Week 3 selections:

Heroes:

Tyler Boyd, WR, Bengals          

Projected - 15 pts                              

Actual - 13 pts                                  


Mitch Trubisky, QB, Bears

Projected – 15 pts

Actual – 19 pts


Zeroes:

Stefon Diggs, WR, Vikings                      

Projected - 14 pts                                  

Actual - 5 pts              


Mark Andrews, TE, Ravens

Projected - 14 pts

Actual – 5 pts


After being perfect Week 2, we went 3 for 4 last week. Tyler Boyd was our underachiever. He was targeted 11 times, the most of any Bengals receiver in Week 3, but could only pull down 6 catches. Let’s see if we can get back to perfection in Week 4’s version of Heroes and Zeroes. This week we will focus on:


Heroes


D.J. Chark, WR, Jaguars

Week 4 Projection: 12 pts


The Jaguars play at Denver this week. Denver’s offense may not be doing much this year, but their defense is certainly not the cause of their 0-3 record. They have the NFL’s sixth best passing defense this year and a top 10 overall defense, but Chark and his new quarterback Gardner Minshew have gotten very comfortable with one another. Last week, Chark had 4 catches for 76 yards and a touchdown. Since Minshew has taken over for the injured Nick Foles in week 1, Minshew and Chark have connected for 13 catches on 16 targets for 235 yards and 2 touchdowns. Look for Chark to outperform his projection this week as the Broncos will have to contend with a pair of young Jaguars receivers in Chark and Dede Westbrook.


Mason Rudolph, QB, Steelers

Week 4 Projection: 15 pts


Like Minshew, Rudolph is another quarterback having to replace a veteran starter. He took over for Ben Roethlisberger two weeks ago. In his first full start last week, Rudolph had to travel to San Francisco to take on the 49ers and did just okay. He completed 52% of his passes for 174 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. This week it’s a battle of 0-3 teams as Rudolph’s Steelers battle their AFC North division foe Bengals on Monday night. Rudolph had a lot of success throwing to his left in Week 3 according to Next Gen Stats and this week JuJu Smith-Schuster will be matched up with William Jackson III out on the left. To this point in the season, Jackson has not been matched up with a talent like Smith-Schuster. I anticipate Rudolph to have a big game in his first-ever home start. It was tough to have to travel to the West Coast and play his first game, but with a full week at home and a jacked-up crowd on Monday night, the Steelers will come out with something to prove. Expect Rudolph to go off.


Zeroes


Calvin Ridley, WR, Falcons

Week 4 Projection: 13 pts


In the first two games of the year, Ridley was targeted a combined 16 times and reached the end zone in each game. Last week, he was targeted just one time versus the Colts totaling 1 catch for 6 yards. This week the Falcons are at home against the Titans. The Titans this year have been really good against the pass, ranking as the third best in the NFL. The Titans’ defense has had issues in the red zone, giving up 6 touchdowns on 7 attempts. Julio Jones is a guy that just can’t be stopped, so they will continue to throw to him in the red zone and Devonta Freeman should have success against a Titans run defense which gives up an average of 120 yards per game. With Ridley being limited in practice this week with a hip injury and the Titans strong pass defense, expect Ridley to put underperform his projection.


Joe Mixon, RB, Bengals

Week 14 Projection: 14 pts


Mixon is not having a great season. As the consensus RB6 per DLF heading into this season, he has totaled just 87 rushing yards on 32 carries, with 60 of those yards coming from last week’s game against the Bills. That’s a putrid 2.7 yards per rush from a top tier running back. The Bengals have a tough contest against the Steelers in Pittsburgh on Monday night. Even though the Steelers have been one of the worst teams defensively this season (ranking 29 out of 32), the Bengals are right there with them ranking 31st in the NFL in yards given up per game. Due to the fact that the Bengals defense hasn’t been able to stop a lot of teams, they have had to employ pass-heavy game plans, essentially moving away from the running game. On passing downs the Bengals always deploy Gio Bernard, so Mixon has not had a lot of volume. I would not expect anything to change this week for Mixon as the Bengals could potentially be playing from behind a lot.